Sky slashed the figure from 22× to 3× by mixing up nationality and country of birth — a basic statistical error that flips the story on its head.
So c.0.55% of Afghans have been convicted? If we believe that, and we also believe that c.1% of rapes result in conviction...
Thanks. Great. Do you also have to age-adjust this because many of the foreigners will be younger and more male?
I did look at age for the London example, foreign national population goes from 21% to 26% if you restrict to 16-64, still lower than the crime percentage 38%. Don't have the Afghan age breakdown to do anything for that.
So c.0.55% of Afghans have been convicted? If we believe that, and we also believe that c.1% of rapes result in conviction...
Thanks. Great. Do you also have to age-adjust this because many of the foreigners will be younger and more male?
I did look at age for the London example, foreign national population goes from 21% to 26% if you restrict to 16-64, still lower than the crime percentage 38%. Don't have the Afghan age breakdown to do anything for that.