Digital ID: The Mandate Is Dropped But the Machinery Remains
Compulsion has been abandoned, support has collapsed — but the system is still being built and the risks haven’t gone away.
As many readers of Stat of the Nation will know, I’ve been calling out the nonsense of mandatory digital ID for months.
Not because I’m anti-technology, but because the claims made for this policy never stacked up. It was sold as a fix for illegal working and even “stopping the boats”, despite no evidence to support those claims.
Now, after collapsing public support and yet another reversal, the government has quietly backed away.
That doesn’t mean the story is over.
🔄 Another U-turn — number 13
Plans to force workers to sign up to a digital ID scheme to prove their right to work have been dropped.
This is a full U-turn from last year, when the Prime Minister said:
“You will not be able to work in the United Kingdom if you do not have digital ID. It’s as simple as that.”
That policy no longer exists. This now appears to be U-turn number 13 since Labour took office — part of a growing pattern of announce first, retreat later.
📉 Support collapsed once it was announced
This policy didn’t fail quietly. It failed publicly. Support for digital ID fell sharply after it was announced.
Once people understood:
it could become compulsory
it was tied to work and housing
it centralised identity into a single state-controlled system
opposition surged.
Nearly three million people signed a parliamentary petition against digital ID. Polling moved decisively against it. The more ministers tried to explain the policy, the less popular it became.
That’s usually a sign the public instinct is right.
❌ Sold on claims that weren’t true
Mandatory digital ID was sold as a solution to:
🚤 stopping the boats
👷 clamping down on illegal working
🔒 securing the labour market
I’ve already set out on Stat of the Nation why the data did not support any of these claims.
There was:
no evidence it would reduce Channel crossings
no evidence it would materially cut illegal working
no evidence it would outperform existing right-to-work checks
Those claims were asserted, not proven — and once scrutiny arrived, the policy collapsed.
💷 £1.8bn — during a supposed fiscal squeeze
There’s one figure that should stop people in their tracks.
The digital ID programme carries an estimated cost of £1.8 billion.
That’s being pushed:
while taxes are at record highs
while borrowing remains elevated
while ministers insist the public finances are “tight”
And now — after collapsing support and a 13th U-turn — the mandatory element has been dropped.
So taxpayers are being asked to fund a £1.8bn system:
with no manifesto mandate
with no proven benefit
If public finances are really as constrained as ministers claim, this isn’t just bad policy. It’s an indefensible prioritisation.
⚠️ Why digital ID should still worry people
Dropping compulsion doesn’t remove the risks. It just postpones the argument.
There are three serious reasons why digital ID should still concern anyone who cares about evidence, proportionality, and civil liberties.
🧭 1. Mission creep is the default, not the exception
Digital ID schemes rarely stay limited to their original purpose.
They follow a familiar path:
Optional ➝ encouraged
Encouraged ➝ normalised
Normalised ➝ quietly expanded
Expanded ➝ effectively mandatory
Once the infrastructure is in place, expanding its use becomes politically easier. A future government wouldn’t need to build anything new — it would just need to change the rules.
“Voluntary” today is not a safeguard for tomorrow.
🧱 2. Centralised systems create a single-point failure
Digital ID consolidates sensitive information — including identity, status, and eligibility — into centralised systems.
That creates:
a single technical point of failure
a single place for errors to cascade
a single lever of control
When things go wrong, people can be:
locked out of work
denied housing
blocked from public services
Digital systems don’t eliminate error — they scale the consequences.
⚖️ 3. It shifts power away from the individual
Digital ID isn’t just a tech upgrade. It’s a power shift.
It moves control away from:
personal documents
decentralised proof
human discretion
And towards:
state-managed permission systems
databases
automated decisions
Once access to work or services depends on a digital gateway, the presumption flips.
You’re no longer eligible unless proven otherwise — you’re eligible only if the system says so.
That’s a profound change in the relationship between citizen and state.
🗳️ No mandate, no preparation
This policy had no manifesto mandate.
Voters were never asked whether they supported mandatory digital ID. Parliament was never given a settled, evidence-backed plan. And the public was never shown a credible impact assessment.
Instead, a sweeping, coercive policy was announced first — and justified later.
That is not serious government.
🔥 A government in disarray
Digital ID now joins a growing list of policies announced, diluted, and abandoned — alongside reversals on welfare reform, winter fuel payments, and farming inheritance tax.
The pattern is clear:
announce big
think later
backtrack under pressure
This is a government in permanent retreat — paralysed by its own lack of preparation.
To put it bluntly, it’s a government that couldn’t run a bath without flooding the house.
📊 The Stat of the Nation takeaway
Dropping mandatory digital ID is the right outcome.
But don’t mistake a U-turn for competence.
This is a government:
pushing policies without evidence
governing without a mandate
and constantly reversing itself once reality intrudes
That paralysis is damaging Britain every single day it continues.
We’ll continue to monitor this closely — and we’ll keep calling it out if mission creep pushes digital ID beyond what is reasonable or proportionate.
The mandate may be gone. But the scepticism should remain.
✍️ Jamie Jenkins
Stats Jamie | Stats, Facts & Opinions
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